Jel Classification
O0, P0, Q0
N° Pages
Food prices and political instability

We examine the effects that variations in the international food process have on democracy and intra-state conflict using panel data for over 120 countries during the period 1970-2007. Our main finding is that in Low Income countries increases in the international food prices lead to a significant deterioration of democratic institutions and a significant increase in the incidence of anti-government demonstrations, riots and civil conflict. In the High Income countries variations in he international food prices have no significant effects on democratic institutions and measures of intra-state conflict. Our empirical results point to a significant externality of variations in the international food prices on Low Income Countries social and political stability

Conflict, Political Institutions