Exchange rate linkages between the ASEAN currencies, the USD and the Chinese RMB
Authors
Luis A. Gil-Alana
Guglielmo Maria Caporale
K. Fei
Type
Article
Publisher
RERSEARCH IN INTERNATIONAL BUSINESS AND FINANCE
Pages
44, 227-238 ISI =1.819
Date
02-04-2018
Abstract

This paper investigates whether the RMB is in the process of replacing the US dollar as the anchor currency in nine ASEAN countries, and also the linkages between the ASEAN currencies and a regional currency unit. A long-memory (fractional integration) model allowing for endogenously determined structural breaks is estimated for these purposes. The results suggest that the ASEAN currencies are much more interlinked than previously thought, whether or not breaks are taken into account, which provides support for a regional currency index as an anchor. Moreover, incorporating a break shows that the linkages between these currencies and the RMB and the US dollar respectively are equally important, and in fact in recent years the former have become stronger than the latter. Therefore including the RMB in the regional index should be considered.

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